Sunday Locks (NFL Week 11)

Packers (-1) @ Vikings, O/U 47.5

The Vikings always play Aaron Rodgers and the Packers tough. With this game in Minnesota and the Packers playing without Aaron Jones, I can understand why the spread is the way it is. But I’m still rolling with the Packers. This is a different Packers team than in years past. Even if the Vikings limit Rodgers and their offense, I can see the Packers defense stifling the Vikings up and down offense and winning a low scoring, gritty game. I’ll take the road team here.

Texans @ Titans (-10), O/U 44.5

Coming off their bye, the Texans square off against a Titans team that just keeps on winning despite the loss of both Derrick Henry and Julio Jones. While I expect the Titans to win this one, double digits is too many points for me to lay with them, so I’ll take Tyrod Taylor and the Texans getting the points here.

49ers (-6.5) @ Jaguars, O/U 45.5

The 49ers looked like the 49ers for maybe the first time this season this past Monday Night. They physically imposed their will on their opponent and were opportunistic through the air when they needed to be. I expect more of the same this week against the lowly Jaguars. I’ll lay the points with the Niners here.

Colts @ Bills (-7), O/U 49.5

Tough game to pick here. I like both of these teams. I love the Colts ground and pound formula and their defense. I love the Bills versatile offense and of course their defense, which ranks among the top in the league. I expect the Colts to battle here, in an opportunity to show the AFC they belong in the playoff hunt. I’ll take the points with Indy.

Ravens (-5) @ Bears, O/U 44.5

The Ravens have had a long time to let that stinker of a game last Thursday Night remain in our memories. They couldn’t do anything offensively. Were they figured out or was it just a blip on the radar? I expect a bounce back this week against the Bears, who have been playing better of late, particularly Justin Fields. I’ll lay the points with the Ravens.

Lions @ Browns (-12), O/U 42.5

The Tim Boyle era begins! It can’t be any worse than the Jared Goff era has gone, which Lions fans hope is truly over. Fun fact: the Lions have not won a game since 2010 where Matthew Stafford was not their starting QB. As far as this game, the Lions offense should be much improved with a QB who can actually throw the ball down the field this week. They also played a physical brand of football last week on the ground that should be effective again this week. I’d love to pick them getting the massive amount of points they’re getting. But all season long the Lions have competed their tails off one week and then followed it up with an absolute stinker. So I have to go Browns here.

Football Team @ Panthers (-3.5), O/U 43

Cam Newton vs. Ron Rivera. This is a very important game for the Panthers who are still alive and well in the NFC playoff race. The Football Team is trying to string together back to back good games, but will have to do so without Chase Young. I don’t have a great feel on this game, so I’m just going to go with the home team. Give me the Panthers.

Dolphins (-3.5) @ Jets, O/U 44.5

Why in the world are the Jets starting Joe Flacco here? And I don’t want to hear the nonsense reason that they gave about Flacco having a better shot than Mike White against a blitz-happy defense in the Dolphins. The Jets are not making the playoffs. They need to figure out what they have on their team. They know what Joe Flacco is. He’s a veteran QB who may be able to win a week, but is certainly not an answer for a team. Mike White had 5 phenomenal quarters of football followed by 4 terrible quarters. So they’re just pulling the plug on him now in an opportunity to gain valuable experience that he may need if they want him to be Zach Wilson’s backup moving forward? The Jets are a mess. I’ll take the Dolphins.

Saints @ Eagles (-2.5), O/U 42.5

No Alvin Kamara is enough for me here to once again pick against the Saints, fully aware that they covered last week when I used the same logic. I’ll take the Eagles.

Bengals (-1.5) @ Raiders, O/U 50

Crucial AFC game here for two teams in freefall who just a few weeks ago were looking like locks to not only make the postseason, but potentially make a run. I think the Raiders have serious problems, so I’ll take the Bengals here.

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5), O/U 56.5

The game of the week right here. This is an opportunity for both of these teams to make serious statements about how good they truly are. Outside of their hiccup against the Broncos, the Cowboys have been steamrolling teams all season long, but have not been challenged by many playoff-likely teams. The Chiefs are on a nice little winning streak here and had their best game of the year last week. A win here would put to bed the whole “Chiefs are dead” theory. I’m going with the Cowboys. Outside of last week, I saw serious problems with the Chiefs. I see a nearly flawless team in the Cowboys. I’ll take the road team.

Cardinals (-1.5) @ Seahawks, O/U 47

Whether Kyler plays or not goes a long way in how confident I am in this pick, but not the pick itself. I like the Seahawks at home here to bounce back from the disastrous performance they put up last week. Any time I’m close to giving up on Russell Wilson, he makes me look silly, so I’m not doing it here. Give me the Seahawks.

Steelers @ Chargers (-5), O/U 47.5

Are the Chargers good? I truly don’t know anymore. But I do know the Steelers are not good. So I’ll lay the points with the Chargers here.

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I like sports. I’m very opinionated. I like sharing my opinions and arguing senselessly with anyone who wants to argue.

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Craig Ebinger

Craig Ebinger

I like sports. I’m very opinionated. I like sharing my opinions and arguing senselessly with anyone who wants to argue.

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